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New York becoming a battleground state

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Albany/HV: New York becoming a battleground state
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But if they want to do it, they'll have to pick up a few seats here in New York. Over the next few weeks, we will profile the closest contests from around the state, looking at the candidates, the demographics of the district and which outside groups are spending money. YNN's Bobby Cuza has more on how New York became a battleground state.

NEW YORK STATE -- New York may be as blue a state as they come, but when it comes to the House of Representatives, New York is a battleground this year, thanks in part, analysts say, to new district lines drawn by a court magistrate.

“The court drew the map and drew a number of competitive districts between the parties. They essentially un-gerrymandered New York’s district boundaries. As a result, there are about eight competitive races in the state where the result is in doubt,” said David Wasserman of Cook Political Report.

Currently, of 435 seats, the House has 240 Republicans, 190 Democrats and five vacancies, which means Democrats need a net gain of about 25 seats to regain control.

New York State currently has 29 representatives, though it’s losing two seats in reapportionment this year, thanks to slow population growth. Of the 29, 22 are Democrats, seven Republicans and six of them are freshmen in their first terms in office, vulnerable to challenge.

Wasserman said, “We talk about one-hit wonders on the radio. There could be one some one-term wonders out of New York State: Republican freshmen who took districts that they ordinarily wouldn’t have had any chance of winning, had it not been for a massive Republican wave election in 2010.”

“We’re going to pick up as many as four seats in New York,” said Robby Mook of the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee.

Among others, the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee says it’s targeting Republicans Ann Marie Buerkle, Nan Hayworth and Michael Grimm and hoping to use the top of the ticket against them.

Mook said, “In some races in New York, we’re actually running ads against candidates attacking them for their support for Mitt Romney. He’s so toxic in New York State.”

But the National Republican Congressional Committee believes it can add to the gains made in 2010, targeting Democrats Kathy Hochul, Bill Owens, Tim Bishop and Louise Slaughter.

“In 2010, Republicans won six House seats in New York in a year where Democratic governor was elected with more than 60 percent. And this year, Republicans are playing offense and we look to likely gain even more seats,” said Nat Sillin of the National Congressional Committee.

Republicans say they’re outspending Democrats in New York about three to one. Whether it works, we’ll find out November 6th.

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